Inflation Pumps the Case for Sale-Leasebacks
As borrowing gets more expensive, a sale-leaseback could be a more attractive option for finding cash
Money isn't worth as much these days, but it's not getting any cheaper for businesses seeking growth. Facing 40-year-high inflation, the Federal Reserve has gone from 25- to 50- to 75-bp rate increases. Loans may no longer make sense for cash-strapped companies. That said, continued inflation could make a sale-leaseback an attractive alternative, according to Tyler Swann, managing director at W. P. Carey.
"A sale-leaseback allows you to lock in your cost of capital for a very long term," says Swann. "If you take the view that interest rates are going to continue to rise, locking in that cost of capital today could be very valuable for you."
A sale-leaseback is when a business sells its real estate for cash and leases it back on a long-term basis from the seller. Often, the buyer-landlord is a REIT or other institutional investor that is equipped to make the most out of a real-estate asset. The seller-lessee company, meanwhile, benefits by being able to invest the value of the asset into the business.
Swann makes the general case for sale-leasebacks more succinctly: If you're not in the business of real estate, why be in the business of real estate?
"It is almost always the case that an owner of a business can earn more on reinvesting money in their business than they can on having that money locked up in real estate," says Swann. "It's more capital-efficient to have that building owned by investors who want to take that risk specifically."
This two-way street of capital efficiency is heightened in the inflationary context because of how a business's needs differ from those of an investor.
"Because of the Fed's aggressive stance on raising rates, short-term rates are probably going to rise pretty meaningfully in the next six to 12 months," says Swann. "But because the investments that we're making are such long-term investments, we're locking in our returns and borrowing costs for a very long period of time. So we're most focused on what long-term interest rates look like."
When considering a sale-leaseback, Swann recommends that would-be seller-lessees consider the property's capitalization rate against such factors as the proposed lease term and rental-increase schedule -- as well as against the market as a whole. In an inflationary environment, this latter juxtaposition can be striking.
"If you look at the broader debt markets, particularly high-yield debt markets, they're in very bad shape right now. Interest rates for high-yield debt have skyrocketed recently," says Swann. "And that has made sale-leaseback financing, [where cap rates have] not risen nearly as much, a much more attractive option on a relative basis."
Related Topics:
You May Also Like:
Project Management Teams Deliver Big Value for Tenants
There’s no question that the current real estate development market is challenging. Labor shortages and rising material costs are creating hurdles in the construction industry, which is being compounded by limited inventory of vacant real estate for certain property types, leaving companies with very few options for additional square footage or property upgrades. The good news is that companies that lease their building may be in luck thanks to a high-value service some landlords are offering: a dedicated project management team. Project management teams come in all shapes and sizes, but they have the potential to handle all types of development projects (e.g., expansions, renovations and build-to-suits) as well as deliver turnkey solutions. REITs and other longer-term investors will often invest in these teams, priding themselves on being a partner to their tenants for the duration of the lease and beyond. Project management teams manage everything from conceptual planning to design to construction management, assembling a team of architects, consultants and contractors. This holistic service is particularly valuable since most tenants don’t have the resources—be it the capital, relationships or expertise—to execute these projects themselves. And leveraging their landlord’s project management team is often more efficient and cost-effective than hiring a third-party developer, and enables them to focus on their core business, which is most likely not real estate development. In today’s market, having access to a dedicated project management team with a shared interest in their tenant’s business and the expertise to effectively navigate current challenges is more valuable than ever. Here’s why: Renovate, modernize or convert an existing building Project management teams can adapt an existing building to reflect the tenant’s evolving real estate needs. This could encompass a full renovation and modernization of an outdated building or converting one property type to another (e.g., office to R&D) to reflect a changing business model. Moreover, with prices continuing to increase having a project management partner that can finance the upfront costs associated with these projects is critical. In addition, working with a project management team that understands the ins and outs of a tenant’s business along with being able to offer a tailored approach means the final product will be ideally suited to the tenant’s long-term needs, in comparison to if the tenant worked with a third-party developer. Expand an asset to accommodate a need for more space In order to continue growing, many tenants need to expand their real estate footprint to make room for more equipment, inventory and more. However, record-low availability of real estate means that many tenants can’t find the additional space they need. An in-house project management team can help by working with tenants to expand their existing space to accommodate growing business needs. A huge benefit of this approach is that tenants can typically continue operating in their existing facilities during an expansion, offering minimal disruption to day-to-day operations. Retrofit an existing space to make it more sustainable With energy costs continuing to soar, there’s never been a better time for tenants to update their properties to make them more sustainable. In-house project management teams can work on a variety of sustainability projects including renewable energy opportunities – such as solar panel installations – energy efficiency retrofits and green building certifications. These sustainable projects can reduce tenants operating costs and help reduce scope 1 and 2 emissions to align with their sustainability goals. Conclusion For landlords, investing in a project management team is a win-win. Turnkey project management solutions add value for tenants by adapting their property to meet their long-term needs, helping increase lease renewals while also improving the overall quality of the portfolio. From an investment perspective, having a project management team also provides a steady pipeline of attractive internal investment opportunities, while enabling the landlord to have project oversight on deals where they are also serving as the capital provider.
2026 Net Lease Outlook
After several years marked by inflation, interest rate uncertainty and selective buyer activity, the U.S. net lease market enters 2026 with more clarity – and more momentum. As pricing resets work through the real estate sector and investors gain confidence in the direction of capital markets, we expect an increase in transaction volume in the year ahead. Below are three predictions set to shape the U.S. net lease landscape in 2026. Transaction Volume Will Rebound as Pricing Stabilizes The reset in valuations throughout 2024 and 2025 has narrowed bid‑ask spreads and revived buyer activity. As the sector digested Fed policy shifts and debt markets steadied, transaction activity began increasing meaningfully – particularly in industrial and logistics. As a result, we expect a measurable uptick in volume in 2026 as investors lean into improved cost‑of‑capital visibility. Colliers forecasts that U.S. CRE transaction volume will grow 15–20% in 2026. Industrial Will Continue to Dominate Industrial demand is positioned to remain strong in 2026. As trade‑policy uncertainty eased in late 2025, many companies who had paused expansion or relocation decisions finally moved forward, bringing a wave of leasing activity that is carrying into the new year. E‑commerce also continues to be a powerful structural driver, underpinning robust leasing demand as retailers and logistics operators expand fulfillment capacity to meet consumer needs. At the same time, development pipelines have slowed, allowing the market to work through new supply. As a result, vacancy is expected to stabilize in 2026, reinforcing a fundamentally balanced environment for investors and occupiers alike. Rising M&A Activity Will Drive New Sale‑Leaseback Opportunities An anticipated rise in M&A activity will likely fuel an increase in sale‑leaseback opportunities in 2026. Private equity firms often use sale-leasebacks to reduce upfront equity requirements and enhance returns when acquiring a new business, especially in deals where real estate represents a meaningful share of the purchase price. On the post-acquisition side, sale-leasebacks can offer PE firms considerable financial flexibility, supporting reinvestment into the portfolio company’s business or even future follow-on acquisitions. Altogether, the anticipated surge in M&A is expected to expand the pipeline of high‑quality real estate coming to market, providing ample opportunity for sale-leaseback investors. Final Thoughts As 2026 unfolds, the U.S. net lease market is entering a period of renewed stability and opportunity. With transaction volumes rebounding, industrial demand holding firm and sale-leaseback activity accelerating alongside M&A trends, investors have multiple avenues to deploy capital strategically. Staying attuned to these drivers will be essential for navigating the year ahead.
Sale-leaseback Activity Expected to Grow as Capital Conditions Improve in 2026
After a slow start, sale-leaseback activity saw a resurgence in the second half of 2025. Early in the year, activity was dampened by uncertain fundamentals and macroeconomic headwinds, but momentum returned as market conditions stabilized. “It was a year of growth, particularly for industrial middle-market sale-leasebacks, which are a large part of W. P. Carey’s business,” says Tyler Swann, managing director, investments, at W. P. Carey. With interest rates stabilizing and companies continuing to explore innovative ways to raise capital, sale-leaseback activity is expected to remain strong in the new year. Falling Rates Support a Strong Outlook For many businesses, changing capital conditions play a major role in decision-making. Swann notes that long-term rates, which directly impact sale-leaseback pricing, have been trending downward. He explains that the 10-year US Treasury rate started the year in the mid to high fours, before settling around 4%, improving the cost of capital and creating stronger incentives for companies to act. “Lower cost of debt and equity enabled us to offer lower cap rates to potential tenants,” says Swann. He adds that when interest rates decline, companies often feel more comfortable making longer-term capital commitments, including sale-leasebacks with 10-, 15- or 20-year terms. Improved Trade Clarity Continues to Strengthen Activity Uncertainty around trade policy has created pockets of hesitation among many companies as they weigh their decisions. “Some people didn’t want to make long-term commitments to facilities, not knowing exactly what the trade policy was going to look like,” says Swann. “However, the threat of tariffs has begun to temper and, as a result, activity is getting stronger.” He notes that trade uncertainty has also pushed some companies to double down on their commitments to domestic supply chains. Swann adds that industrial vacancy remains low in many markets and rental rates have generally held steady or increased, reinforcing investors’ appetite to acquire these types of assets through sale-leasebacks. Improving Capital Conditions Create a Tailwind for 2026 With long-term rates stabilizing or slightly declining over the past year, Swann expects these shifts to remain a positive influence on sale-leasebacks. “I anticipate this stability to be a tailwind for investment activity for the same reason it was in 2025,” he says. He also points to merger and acquisition activity as another area to watch. Swann believes a pickup in private equity transactions could further boost sale-leaseback volume in the coming year. As interest rates continue to inch lower, he notes that activity may resemble more active periods of previous cycles, setting the stage for a strong 2026.